Housing market data driving property market optimism in 2017: ANZ

A survey of property sector expectations for 2017 has found strong expectations of economic growth has driven confidence to a two-year high.

Recent housing market data on price growth, auction results, and investor finance has driven confidence in the property sector.

ANZ chief economist Richard Yetsenga said the first quarter ANZ-Property Council Survey shows a further increase in sentiment in the property sector, despite the sharp slowdown in economic growth prior to the survey.

“Nonetheless, we believe growth will continue to pick up through 2017, with most of the Q3 weakness proving to be only temporary,” he said.

“Our solid outlook for the Australian economy in 2017 is broadly consistent with the strong tone to this quarter’s survey. Sentiment in New South Wales’, Victoria’s, and the ACT’s property markets sits around record levels, in line with the transition away from mining-led growth. A stronger non-mining economy means that we believe the RBA’s easing cycle is over, and we expect rates will remain on hold this year. 

“A noteworthy feature of this quarter’s survey is that businesses nationwide now expect interest rates to increase over the coming year. This reflects both the RBA being at the end of their easing cycle, as well as tighter funding conditions. But as of yet, there is little sign that the likelihood of higher funding costs is having an adverse impact on the property sector.”